“A ‘perfect storm’ shook markets in late 2018,” said Nariman Behravesh, chief economist, IHS Markit. “Slowing global growth, the gradual removal of monetary accommodation, the China-U.S. trade conflict and U.S. government shutdown all contributed to the recent rout. However, it’s important to note that the stock market is not a reliable predictor of recessions, and the probability of a recession in 2019 remains low.”